基于现场监测与数值模拟的浅层采空区稳定性分析

隐患采空区是目前影响露天开采矿山安全生产的主要危害源之一。随着台阶开采的不断剥离,露天开采境界内各台阶与地下空区群的隔离层厚度越来越薄,随时有可能发生采空区顶板坍塌事故。考虑到露天矿采空区地质赋存条件和围岩稳固性等特征,以弓长岭露天铁矿浅层采空区为工程背景,运用现场监测和数值模拟相结合的手段综合分析了浅层采空区的稳定性。将液体静力水准地表沉降监测系统的监测数据与FLAC数值模拟结果对比,调整蠕变参数使得数值模拟的蠕变速率与现场监测结果一致,而后据此进行未来结果的预测。最终根据地表沉降数据确定的蠕变参数取值为A=1.0×10^-12、m=1.75、n=0.35。研究表明:静力水准测点地表最大沉降位移为-9.8 mm,蠕变计算结果顶板最大垂直位移约20.4 mm,应力最大值约25 MPa,综合分析显示该采空区较稳定。上述研究提供了一种基于采空区现场监测数据的数值模拟蠕变分析方法,可为类似矿山采空区稳定性分析提供借鉴。     

Modeling and analysis for multilayered complex communication network of satellite navigation system

This study is extended to construct the network model, the node model, and the link model of complex communication network for satellite navigation system (CCN‐SNS) based on the hierarchical architecture. Firstly, a method called snapshots was proposed to describe the dynamic topology for CCN‐SNS; secondly, another method was put forward to model the different nodes of the CCN‐SNS; thirdly, the different links between every two different nodes were modeled. Therefore, based on the OPNET tools, a simulation for the CCN‐SNS, which contains the models that proposed earlier used to analyze the navigation accuracy and network transmission performance, was performed.     

轧机垂直系统动力学参数辨识

 针对轧机垂直系统动力学参数可信度不足等问题，提出一种基于实测数据的改进粒子群算法辨识轧机垂直系统动力学参数的方法。首先,将轧机垂直系统刚度和阻尼考虑成达芬振子和范德波尔振子，构建轧机垂直系统非线性动力学模型，并对粒子群算法进行改进；然后，通过数值仿真算例辨识得到系统在感染噪声和不含噪声时的动力学参数，验证了该算法的有效性；最后，以现场某轧机垂直系统为研究对象，基于现场实测数据，应用该算法进行辨识，得到了轧机垂直系统动力学参数估计，通过实测位移、速度和加速度信号分别与辨识后的位移、速度和加速度信号进行对比，证明该方法辨识轧机垂直系统动力学参数结果可靠，具有一定的工程应用价值。     

Modeling task completion time of in-vehicle information systems while driving with keystroke level modeling

The use of touchscreen-based in-vehicle information systems (IVIS) is increasing. To ensure safe driving, it is important to evaluate IVIS task performance during driving situations. Therefore, we proposed a model to assess the task completion time (TCT) of IVIS tasks while driving using a keystroke-level modeling (KLM) technique. The basic assumptions and heuristic rules of driver behaviors were considered. In addition, based on the characteristics of visual and manual IVIS interactions, we determined the basic unit operators (i.e., visual, manual, and mental operators). User experiments were conducted to determine the individual execution times of unit tasks and to measure the TCT of IVIS tasks while driving. Based on the heuristic rules for model development and individual task execution times, we derive a predictive model for the TCT of IVIS tasks. We used a regression analysis to validate the modeling procedure, showing that the observed TCT was found to have a strong positive correlation with the predicted time from the modeling process. The findings showed that the task completion time needed to perform a secondary task in a driving context can be predicted by KLM. This study provides meaningful insights into the design of touchscreen-based IVIS to enhance driving safety.     

建筑材料供应中断对承包商成本的冲击研究——基于鲁棒模型分析

为了揭示供应商与承包商为主体的二级供应链中，两者间耦合作用条件下发生的供应中断对供应商最优决策及对承包商成本的影响机制，且剖析供应中断对承包商成本的冲击效应，以供应商存在高退出风险为研究对象，在仅知产量均值与方差条件下，运用Scarf提出的“极大极小值”鲁棒决策方法，通过设定不同决策情况下的供应链系统反馈，分析了不同退出标准情况下二级供应链的博弈过程。基于理论支撑下的鲁棒模型数值仿真结果得出：在退出标准α为100时，中间变量在290~350范围内，供应商存在最优决策，但承包商最优决策无法确定；与α为0时相比，在订货量达到一定状态，即α为140时，承包商成本增加了1.5%，表明承包商成本与供应商退出标准呈正相关，退出标准越高，对承包商成本造成的冲击效应越大。此研究结论为供应链初期不稳定且信息不完整条件下发生的供应中断影响机理提供了新的视角。     

基于协同优化算法的流速仪检定系统设计

提出了一种小型轻便的流速仪检定系统的设计方案,并运用改进的多学科协同优化方法求解各学科设计变量的最优解。首先介绍了算法思想及改进措施,并根据系统设计要求建立了各学科的设计变量、目标函数和约束条件；其次,运用遗传算法求解各学科设计变量的最优解,并根据优化结果完善了系统的设计方案,同时运用计算机仿真等方法验证了优化结果的可行性。结果表明,优化后的检定系统满足流体力学效应、匀速运动时间、系统重量等设计要求,同时证明了协同优化算法解决多学科设计优化问题的有效性。     

A hierarchical simple particle swarm optimization with mean dimensional information

To reduce the negative influence of the overemphasis of gbest the dimensional information of particle is introduced to be a new example. This additional information source is incorporated into simple PSO to establish a simpler position model. Another two simpler position updating models, cognition only model and social only model, based on the simple PSO algorithm are presented as well. Time hierarchy strategy is extended from probability hierarchy, both aiming to make full use of advantages of three models. Three models are used with time or probability hierarchy to update each particle’s position. Thus, two proposed algorithms THSPSO and PHSPSO are finally obtained. Experiments are conducted on fifteen benchmark functions. The results demonstrate the two proposed algorithms both have excellent performances for basic functions compared with other popular PSO variants. Probability hierarchy strategy is more effective than time hierarchy strategy in general.     

Exploiting Bayesian networks for fault isolation: A diagnostic case study of diesel fuel injection system

Fault isolation is known to be a challenging problem in machinery troubleshooting. It is not only because the isolation of multiple faults contains considerable number of uncertainties due to the strong correlation and coupling between different faults, but often massive prior knowledge is needed as well. This paper presents a Bayesian network-based approach for fault isolation in the presence of the uncertainties. Various faults and symptoms are parameterized using state variables, or the so-called nodes in Bayesian networks (BNs). Probabilistically causality between a fault and a symptom and its quantization are described respectively by a directed edge and conditional probability. To reduce the qualitative and quantitative knowledge needed, particular considerations are given to the simplification of Bayesian networks structures and conditional probability expressions using rough sets and noisy-OR/MAX model, respectively. By adopting the simplified approach, symptoms under multiple-fault are decoupled into the ones under every single fault, while the quantity of the conditional probabilities is simplified into the linear form of the faults quantity. Prior knowledge needed in Bayesian network-based diagnostic model is reduced significantly, which decreases the complexity in establishing and applying this diagnosis model. The computational efficiency is improved accordingly in the simplified BN model, after eliminating the redundant symptoms. The fault isolation methodology is illustrated through an example of diesel engine fuel injection system to verify the developed model.     

OPM3要素对项目组合管理能力影响的SD建模与仿真

根据组织项目管理成熟度模型（OPM3），确定影响项目组合管理能力的OPM3要素，分析OPM3要素与项目组合管理能力的因果关系，构建系统动力学模型，仿真模拟OPM3要素对项目组合管理能力的影响。仿真结果表明：OPM3要素与项目组合管理能力正相关；OPM3要素对项目组合管理能力的影响在短期内并不显著；在OPM3要素中，对项目组合管理能力影响较为显著的是战略执行与规划、组织领导能力和信息分析。     

基于区块链应用模式的铁路旅客身份认证系统

采用“区块链技术+不对称加密+生物识别+身份认证”应用模式，依托智能手机客户端设计与开发一套铁路旅客身份认证系统.基于Ethereum开发平台，应用truffle开发框架，实现铁路旅客身份认证系统智能合约的编写与部署.系统针对传统铁路身份认证模式的不足，将旅客身份数据分布式存储，弱化中心化服务器的压力，提升旅客身份数据的安全性和鲁棒性；进行生物信息认证确保旅客对身份信息的所有权；利用非对称加密技术在保护旅客隐私、实现实名制的前提下增强数据的透明性.基于区块链应用模式的铁路旅客身份认证系统能够让用户身份实现本地存储、信息摘要链上校验，实现铁路旅客身份信息数据访问的细粒度控制，保障铁路旅客身份信息安全，提升铁路旅客的乘车体验.